Welcome to the year of the Tiger, 4707 on the Lunar calendar. Looking back at the last ten years (4697 to 4707, if you will), the country that has been most tiger-like is Vietnam. Of course, I am referring to the term “Asian Tiger,” given to the economic power houses Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and South Korea. But if Vietnam is a tiger, it’s still a baby with a lot of growing up to do.
Walks Like a Tiger
Vietnam’s economic growth in the past decade has been incredible, second only to China’s near-10% growth. This growth has caused many to start calling Vietnam the next Asian tiger. However, there’s still a long way to go. Let’s see how Vietnam stacks up to the other Tigers.
One of the most important metrics is GPD per capita. It can be used as a very rough estimate of how much an average person in that country earns per year. With a population of approximately 80 million (13th in the world), Vietnam’s per capita GDP is $2,781, putting it at #116 (World Bank, 2008). In comparison, the Asian Tigers post impressive figures: Singapore $49,288, Hong Kong $43,922, Taiwan $ 30,100, and South Korea $27,939.
A Reason for Hope
Although Vietnam has a lot of catching up to reach the levels of the other Tigers, I do see a big reason for hope. That reason has nothing to do with politics or policy, but rather the people. Vietnamese people are young–very young. Take a look at the age distribution below. The average age of a Vietnamese person is 25.
That means half of the population is less than 25 years old (which makes me feel really old). This is a lot of young, fresh minds in a culture that emphasis education. It’s a country of great mathematicians and engineers. I think they can do amazing things.
In Closing: The Key is Education
These young hungry minds are starving. Less than a quarter of young adults will have a chance at a college education (Vu Quang Viet, Ph.D, United Nations). Of those who do graduate, the majority will not qualify to work for an foreign company. Vietnam’s work force is dominated by manufacturing and agriculture as many companies hesitate to invest in a white-collar work force that’s often viewed as inferior to that of India, Taiwan, other nearby neighbors.
The key for progress, as it has been for millenniums all over the world, is education. Education and professional training will lead to more jobs, more opportunities, and the ability to afford a better quality of life. So if the opportunity presents itself to teach someone how to program, solve an equation, learn English, or write a paper, take it! The years 4707 and beyond count on it.
Brian Luong says
rawr!
Isabella Nga Lai says
Baby tigers are cute
Ngo Van Luc says
Absolutely the tiger but wait another 10 years!
Nguyen Cuong says
what should young Vnese under such that government,the best thing that we can do is replace (not protest) that mechanism of. to develop our country.
Hang Nguyen says
Hey, i do agree education makes the differences. Also, there should be an encouraging mechanism and system to apply knowledge to reality in a positive way. The changes in politics, social management and people mind-set (especially leaders) are what we desparately need as well.
AN says
Vietnam is losing its advantage as a country having young population. the last few year’s economic performance did not come up to economists’ expectation. Last year’s economic growth rate was just 5.3%, and there’s no sign of improvement in this year’s figure. As a Vietnamese, i’m very disappointed about this. Corruption is preventing us. 10 years ago, Vietnam was considered having potential for becoming a new Asian tiger. and Vietnam’s still in line for becoming a real tiger, but the line’s thousand of miles long