IMF May Revise GDP Growth Estimate Upward for Vietnam

Vietnam’s gross domestic product expanded 5.8 percent in the third quarter from a year earlier, up from 4.5 percent in the previous three months. The government is targeting growth of at least 5 percent for the year.

economy-cubeVietnam’s gross domestic product expanded 5.8 percent in the third quarter from a year earlier, up from 4.5 percent in the previous three months, according to figures this week from the General Statistics Office in Hanoi. The government is targeting growth of at least 5 percent for the year.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) revised growth for 2009 to 4.6 percent as Vietnam reported growth of 4.6 percent for the first nine months of 2009. The 4.6 percent forecast is up from a previous estimate of 3.5 percent. Still, the latest projection didn’t take the third- quarter numbers into account, according to Benedict Bingham, the IMF’s senior Vietnam resident representative.

According to Bingham, Vietnam’s strong activity is attributed to both the underlying strength of the Vietnamese economy and the stimulus package recently put in place.

Vietnam put in place a fiscal stimulus package valued at approximately 8.6 percent of GDP in a bid to boost the economy, which grew 3.1 percent in the first quarter, the slowest pace on record. Measures included tax exemptions, reductions and deferments for businesses, and an interest-rate subsidy program.

The Author:

Quyen is currently an Investment Analyst at a real estate private equity firm. She previously worked in real estate investment banking covering a variety of transactions, including equity, debt and M&A. Quyen graduated from the University of California, Berkeley with a B.S. in Business Administration and a B.A. in Economics.

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